Much was made about the rise of Big Tech over the last 30 years. Even more is rightfully being made about the effects Social Media is having on modern society all over the world. It can no longer be denied the internet and the more recent rise of social media have changed things.
In recent years we’ve seen Facebook become a haven for hate speech in secret Facebook groups. This is to say nothing of Facebook Marketplace becoming a popular place for stolen merchandise to be sold. Don’t even get me started on Elon Musk silencing voices he doesn’t like or agree with–even those who are paid subscribers–on Xitter.
The rise of Autocratic ideologues like Trump and DeSantis are bad enough but now we also have to deal with the reemergence of a long forgotten threat to Democracy from the 1930s: Technocracy. About 100 years ago, there was a great effort by some of America’s best educated to replace Democracy with a new type of government led by the country’s greatest minds. They basically used The Great Depression as reason enough to basically say “Democracy has run its course. In order to save this country, some drastic changes need to be made.”
Their efforts ultimately failed and stalled when people realized the short-term benefits were not worth the longterm drawbacks. This is to say nothing of the fact there was a massive education and economic disparity in America which meant mostly the elite would reap the benefits. Everyone else would be at the mercy of the Technocrats.
…Doesn’t this sound familiar to you? Yes, history is repeating itself.
Is there a cabal of tech leaders and/or tech engineers plotting to use A.I., Augmented Reality and/or Virtual Reality to control the world? No. The more likely scenario is someone develops tech they can’t control that becomes an existential threat to mankind and THAT would be a serious problem. This is why there needs to be guard rails in the form of government oversight at the very least.
I’ve mentioned this before but at the beginning of the year, many tech experts worldwide estimated A.I. at its current level has a 10% chance of leading the end of mankind. This past summer, that estimate rose to 18%. As of this month it’s around 24%. What caused the increase? The proliforation of A.I. software that can mimic a person’s voice with 99% accuracy readily available in the public domain.
Already there have been hundreds of reported attempted phone scams using this tech in just the U.S. What the scammers do is take a sample of a subject’s voice from social media and use A.I. software to copy and mimic it. They then call one of the subject’s family members–spoofing phone numbers is incredibly easy if you know what you’re doing on that note–saying they’re in trouble and need money now. This is where the scammer gives themselves away: They explicitly say “Don’t contact the authorities. Wire money or buy Gift Cards to be sent to this specified account”. Hang up and immediately contact your loved one to confirm they’re ok. ALWAYS do that first.
That aside. This is to say nothing of people with malicious intent making Deepfake videos involving politicians. It’s easy to laugh about a popular Deepfake in which Biden asks Kevin McCarthy for an order of chicken nuggets during the State of the Union Address. What’s no laughing matter is a string of Deepfake videos being shared in Far Right Telegram chatrooms with the express intent of deceiving unsuspecting audiences. This is also why some non-profit Think Tanks are pushing for anything A.I.-generated put in the public domain be required to have some kind of digital watermark so that people know it’s not real.
Believe it or not someone using new technology for nefarious purposes is actually the second-biggest threat. The biggest threat is and always will be someone developing technology that either can’t be controlled or gets out of control. THAT is the clear and present threat A.I. poses to mankind. At the same time, A.I. itself is not the problem. It’s a tool. Like any other tool, it can be used for good as well as evil. There needs to be safeguards in the form of regulations in place to minimize the risks of the latter.
That brings me to these three charts. While World War I ushered in the age of 2GW, the American Civil War (1861-1865) was the first to utilize it. 20 years after the end of World War I, Nazi Germany introduced the world to 3GW with the Blitzkrieg (Lightning War).
We entered 4GW–Guerilla Warfare–during the Cold War and for most of that period, it was how countries like Vietnam and Afghanistan were able to beat the United States and Russia despite being the huge military disadvantage. The U.S. and Russia insisted on using a combination of 2GW and 3GW tactics against Vietnam and Afghanistan. Vietnam was able to keep the U.S. bogged down for almost 20 years and the Taliban prettymuch did the same thing against the Soviet Union in Afghanistan during the 1980s. The Afghan-Soviet conflict is referred to as Russia’s Vietnam with good reason.
Although we didn’t know it at the time, the world basically entered 5GW with advent of the internet in the mid-1990s. It was being used nationally but on smaller scales in Russia, China, Iran and North Korea in particular. All four countries control the media.
In the case of China, the government controls and heavily monitors the internet. In fact China not only banned Twitter but have their own version called Weibo. Foreigners in China can apply to get a VPN to use the internet like the rest of the world but Chinese citizens are not allowed to the same privilages.
The world has gotten to know Russia’s Propaganda machine quite well since the conflict in Ukraine began to say the least. It’s pretty obvious by now that Russia is going to descend into anarchy sooner than later largely for that reason. Unlike China, Russia does not heavily monitor the internet for the Russian population. Most young people in Russia oppose the conflict in Ukraine and rightfully believer they are on the wrong side of history.
I know I’ve talked quite a bit about 5GW in recent years but one thing both China and Russia have that the United States doesn’t are digital fronts in foreign populations. Both countries as well as North Korea have invested HEAVILY into the development of digital armies for almost 20 years.
I’ve mentioned this before on this blog but it is a fact that Russia prettymuch endorses international fraud. They don’t care if hackers in their boarders target foreign governments directly as long as they don’t get caught and more obviously they don’t draw unwanted attention.
The Biden Administration sent a memo to Microsoft, Google, Apple and other U.S.-based tech companies earlier this year urging them to harden their defenses against cyber attacks and corporate theft from Chinese hacking rings backed by the Chinese government. This isn’t getting anywhere near as much attention in the media as it should be but it is a fact that the Chinese government endorses copyright theft of foreign companies–especially companies based in the U.S. On the other hand, Chinese companies operating overseas–including TikTok–are largely considered the eyes and ears of the Chinese government.
That brings me to Augmented Reality and Virtual Reality which I’ll end things with. Anyone familiar with the 2018 Sci-Fi movie Ready, Player One, any of The Matrix movies or the anime Sword Art Online (SAO) is very familiar with the VR technology utilized, allowing players to upload their consciousness into the virtual world. It is largely revered by many sci fi fans as the ultimate escape or a possible way to live forever once the technology is fully developed.
I’ll use Amazon Prime Video’s sci-fi show Upload as another example. In that show, humans have achieved a measure of immortality by uploading their consciousness and memories to a digital world. It’s a one-way trip to the digital afterlife but once you cross over, you’re prettymuch immortal. One of the biggest fantasies of many Technocrats is achieving a measure of immortality via technological advancements even if it means sacrificing your humanity in the process. THAT’S exactly why Technocracy as a concept is so dangerous. Even more so now.
People need to understand something about Technocracy as a government construct. Although it elements of Democracy on the surface, at the end of the day a chosen handful are the decision-makers for the country. They are not elected but are selected based on their expertise in certain fields. If you want to see what that looks like in a modernized country, look at China. For those who don’t know, yes it is a police state but not on the same scale as what goes on in North Korea. On the surface China is a Communist country but make no mistake many of the country’s brightest minds, businessmen and experts have some political power as well. More so when you consider companies based in China that operate in other countries are basically required by law to spy on foreign nationals for the Chinese government.
All that said and in closing. There are a lot of powerful people in the tech world who need to be kept as far away from having any political power as possible. Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg are just two of many such people.
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